If we wish to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is an excellent sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and a few nice guaranteed profitable bets can be purchased if you know when and where to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your hard earned money from you and there are many inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in lots of ways be about timing. The earlier the cost appears the more likely you will have a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do lots of research as soccer has now become a big earner to them. They need to do this as they are only too conscious of the serious punters are becoming much shrewder in this particular market and will exploit any snippets of news which could allow them to have an advantage. They advertise heavily within the tabloids.
Whereas in some minor sports there may be just one single odds compiler doing work for the bookmaker soccer is just too lucrative with this any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for the big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will offer you odds on soccer, its a higher revenue turnover sport.
Such could be the turnover on the escalating IBO88 that Ladbrokes and other such big bookmakers are willing to require a ‘big’ bet on the results of a match. This really is clearly great news for your arb maker. Because of this the utmost bets they will likely accept over a bet are many higher.
There are numerous varieties of soccer bets. Firstly you have the match winner. This can be divided into 3 results, win, lose or draw. And then there are the initial goal scorer and also the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full-time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total amounts of yellow and red cards etc. In reality anything where odds can be set to will provide a betting opportunity.
So that are the best soccer bets to search for? Firstly forget about predicting the match score, you can find a lot of outcomes. The initial goal scorer is a complete waste of time too. Both these sorts of bets are heavily advertised however are for mug punters only, the odds consistently offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly overtaking 15% profit on the book. These bets have quite a few possible outcomes. We are looking for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The way to play the soccer marketplace is to start accounts with European bookmakers as the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is a good source of sure bets. Both of them have strong opinions about this sport. They will price the sport in their own individual country and also the matches in foreign countries. Anything to create a profit.
Italy, as an example is even more soccer crazy than the UK, with newspapers committed to the game. Everyone thinks they know best with this subject and egos get in the way of sensible pricing. This is great news for us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where since they may well have greater detailed expertise in the comings and goings in their countries they are counting on third parties to collate information about their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is within midweek games between teams of different nationalities. There exists a tendency in punters to get patriotic with regards to events in which the opposition are ‘foreign’. The likelihood of the house team get talked up and also the odds might get skewed within their favour because the weight of income is overly wagered in their direction.
With that in mind the large bookmakers present an early price, they are going to often advertise it within the national papers and in general stick to it. Which means that a bench mark continues to be set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or make an effort to tempt money in their direction by offering different odds. If this type of were to happen the arb may be around for a great deal of time.
You will always find discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers have a tendency to stick around the same price. They figure there is certainly safety in numbers. But remember these are ‘guessing’ what the odds needs to be just like you and also me. These are basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae nevertheless they still have to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can have it wrong as well as other firms can take a totally different view of the result of any game. A totally different view will simply result in a slight variation in the odds but this can be sufficient to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to begin with the better obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They are included in many different bookmakers throughout Europe. This may however give a complication. Although really simple for locating arbs, the mere fact that you concentrate on these obscure matches will throw the possibility that you are likely to get spotted from the bookmakers should you concentrate your action here.
Also they are going to be unwilling to accept high maximum bets on matches where they may have done little research. On the other hand it really is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You need to weigh up the pros and cons of this strategy.
This is a fairly obscure area of betting and in case someone would be to check your bank account over a number of months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your own account it might ring alarm bells. The motto the following is to dilute the bets by betting on as many different type of sport and events as is possible which means that your accounts have varied bets upon them. This shouldn’t be a problem as much different sports are great for sure bets.
The better prominent European ties may also produce arbs and they are not as likely to draw in awareness of you and also the highest bets will be higher.
As before you can not control whether the individual bets win or lose but soccer is really a 3 way result and so 2 losing bets to 1 winning one can come in handy on your account. The point here is that not so many people are thinking about the lower European divisions and it also may become clear that the betting pattern is a touch unusual. This is especially valid in case your bets towards the maximum permitted.
Injury news can become a lucrative area in soccer. Think it over. If a player fails a late fitness test over a Saturday and that he will be the teams star striker then this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned approximately play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play in the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not implying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. Nevertheless the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert for this and altered prices because the money poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted in any way. Either way arbs were available. This sort of last minute frantic activity is extremely keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair that you can act as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through among the many soccer websites. Alternatively satellite television stations always have comprehensive news coverage of all of the games and they are quick to offer you any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, however, not all at the same time, only one by one so creating sure bets.
In this particular scenario where prices are changing bet on the old price first. The brand new prices are the one which wont change the old price is the one that is going to and so may be lost if you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be information on timing. When chances are first produced or have reason to change then this arbs are much more likely to appear.
Recently the English referees have grown to be more lenient in the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for the total variety of bookings in a game. A few of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly and others did not. This can affect the bet ranges requested total bookings.
Let’s look at the red and yellow card market. Should you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for a yellow card and 25 points for any red. A player can get yourself a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say odds of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 as well as over 30 points, the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a medical history of animosity in between the teams in which case chances are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this sort of bet is not going to figure strongly within your plans. Plus it is unusual to discover information being issued that can change the total bookings bet. But a basic piece of news like the policy for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to a number of arb. The final outcome is not can be expected too much sure betting activity from the issuing of red and yellow cards however it simple enough to check the percentages.